Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Kentucky Election Preview

Except for the Senate race, there isn't much to see here: Kentucky State Here.

Senator: Rand Paul (R) vs. Jack Conway (D) Polling Here: Paul vs. Conway. Senate Stats. For all the hype, this race has not been nearly as competitive as many thought it would be. Conway has never led and Rand Paul is sounding more poised and confident. PREDICTION: RAND PAUL

1st CD: Ed Whitfield*(R) vs. Charles Hatchett (D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Whitfield easily.
2nd CD: S. Brett Guthrie*(R) vs. Ed Marksberry (D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Guthrie easy.
3rd CD: Todd Lally (R) vs. John Yarmuth*(D) Lally vs. Yarmuth. District Stats. Yasrmuth is only a sophomore in a district Republican Anne Northrup represented for 12 years. Obama carried the district with 56%. Obvious contradictions here. Braun polling has Yarmuth up 23 points, but I'm not biting, especially in a low turnout election without Obama on the ballot. I'm looking for polling. PREDICTION: Yarmuth for now
4th CD: Geoff Davis*(R) vs. John Waltz (D) No Polling Here. District Stats.  Davis easily
5th CD: Hal Rogers*(R) vs. Jim Holbert (D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Rogers walks.
6th CD: Andy Barr (R) vs. Ben Chandler*(D) Polling Here: Barr vs Chandler. District Stats. Chandler is in his third term as a Democrat in a district Bush and McCain won big. I don't like Braun polling either. PREDICTION: ANDY BARR.

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