Thursday, October 7, 2010

Maryland Election Preview

Maryland is one of only a few states where Obama is not upside down in the polls. Maryland Stats Here.

Governor: Bob Ehrlich (R) vs. Martin O'Malley*(D) Polling Here: Ehrlich vs. O'Malley. This was supposed to be close. It's not. PREDICTION: O'Malley

Senator: Eric Wargotz (R) vs. Barbara Mikulski*(D) Polling Here: Wargotz vs Mikulski. Senate Stats. Mikulski rolls to a win.

1st CD: Andy Harris (R) vs. Frank Kratovil*(D) Polling Here: Harris vs. Kratovil. District Stats. PREDICTION: HARRIS.

2nd CD: Marcelo Cardarelli (R) vs. C.A. Ruppersberger*(D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Ruppersberger walks to an easy win.

3rd CD: Jim Wilhelm (R) vs. John Sarbanes*(D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Sarbanes easily.

4th CD: Robert Broadus (R) vs. Donna Edwards*(D)No Polling Here. District Stats. Edwards in a romp.

5th CD: Charles Lollar (R) vs. Steny Hoyer*(D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Some conservatives are excited about Lollar. A win would be a miracle. PREDICTION: HOYER

6th CD: Roscoe Bartlett*(R) vs Andrew Duck (D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Bartlett Rolls

7th CD: Mike Vallerie (R) vs. Elijah Cummings*(D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Cummings easily.

8th CD: Mike Phillips (R) vs. Chris Van Hollen*(D) No Polling Here. District Stats. Van Hollen easily.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Wargotz v Mikulski is a "sleeper" race. Maryland is waking up to Wargotz as the credible challenge to Miklski's lousy record of late. The Wash poll has raised much debate. This comment is to the point: "Interesting but in stark contrast to Rasmussen Poll results and others which give Wargotz an 11 to 16 point trail behind Mikulski. Perhaps its the methodology the Wash Post uses. A methodology which has already raised controversy and debate regarding the assumptions it makes about election turnout. This very issue has been the subject of a number of very good articles and critiques particularly in reference to the identical issues regarding the very wide double digit gap reported by the Wash post for O'malley - Ehrlich race on last Tuesday.

If you take into consideration the same "subtraction and division" factors regarding the Wash Post assumptions on both races, then Ehrlich is trailing O'Malley by a few points as independent pollsters report and Wargotz trails Mikulski by only 11 to 16 also as independent pollsters show. Interesting indeed!"

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